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Scientists warn of 90pc likelihood of ‘Super El Niño’

Published : Thursday, 4 June, 2026 at 11:20 PM  Count : 546

Scientists have issued a fresh warning over the possible emergence of a super El Niño, saying there is a 90 percent probability of the climate phenomenon affecting global weather patterns in the coming months.

According to recent analyses reported by international media, researchers believe that a strong El Niño event could develop within the next few months and may persist until November.

Experts say climate change has already contributed to record-breaking temperatures and more frequent extreme weather events in recent years, but the activation of a super El Niño could significantly intensify global impacts.

The phenomenon is expected to trigger severe heatwaves in many countries while causing abnormal rainfall and flooding in others. Scientists have warned that food supply disruptions and rising prices could also follow due to crop losses linked to droughts and floods.

United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres has also cautioned about the looming threat, saying there is 90 percent certainty that El Niño conditions will arrive within months and urging countries to treat it as an urgent climate warning.

“The science is very clear. El Niño is on its way and it will pour fuel on the fire of a warming world,” Guterres said, warning that its effects could be “more destructive and far-reaching across borders.”

He stressed that the only effective response is urgent climate action, including reducing dependence on fossil fuels, expanding renewable energy use, strengthening protection for vulnerable populations and improving early warning systems worldwide.

Scientists further warned that the event could contribute to global food insecurity and inflation, while increasing the likelihood of both prolonged droughts and extreme flooding. They also suggested that 2026 could see record global temperatures as climate patterns intensify.




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